Proprietary Trader – Global Prediction Markets

We are a hedge fund building a new trading desk around geopolitical and macro event-driven markets e.g. elections, sanctions, conflicts, policy shifts, central bank decisions traded through prediction exchanges, event contract platforms, and betting markets. Our edge is in events where information is fragmented, outcomes are binary, and the market consistently underprices tail scenarios.

This is a build-from-scratch opportunity with full ownership. You will shape the desk's strategy, deploy capital behind your own views, and run your book with real autonomy. 

Strong preference for candidates from prediction exchanges, event-driven prop trading, political betting, or macro-focused sportsbook backgrounds.

• Trade geopolitical, political, and macro event markets across prediction platforms (e.g. Polymarket, Kalshi) and related venues
• Generate PnL through in-house strategies — fully independent, not client flow-driven
• Identify mispricings and arbitrage opportunities across platforms
• Price and trade probability-based contracts (binary / multi-outcome)
• Manage risk, exposure, and capital allocation
• Monitor news, sentiment, and market movements in real time
• Help build the desk’s trading framework, tools, and processes

• 3+ years experience in prediction markets, political/geopolitical betting, event-driven prop trading etc
• Proven, independently generated PnL from your own views
• Strong understanding of odds / probability pricing
• Comfortable in fast-moving, news-driven environments
• Disciplined risk management
• Independent, high-conviction decision maker
• Coding (Python/SQL) is a plus
• Motivated to build and scale a new trading desk
• Flexibility to align with global event calendars